Iraq has become the "key" of the situation in the Middle East. Why did the United States evacuate people from Iraq urgently?
According to a number of foreign media reports, on May 15th, the US Embassy in Iraq issued a statement on its official website, saying that the State Council ordered all "non-essential" embassy and consulate staff to leave Iraq as soon as possible.
According to relevant personnel, on May 18th, the American energy giant ExxonMobil Company has withdrawn all its personnel from Iraq except Iraqi employees.
Iraq is in focus
Why did the United States evacuate people from Iraq urgently?
Some analysts believe that the United States is preparing for a possible military conflict. However, some voices also pointed out that the United States’ remarks about the existence of Iraq threatening its interests are just "excuses" found by the United States.
Earlier, US Secretary of State Pompeo made a surprise visit to Iraq. Intelligence obtained by the United States shows that Shiite militants supported by Iran have deployed rockets near the base where the US military is stationed.
In this regard, Iraq’s caliber is not consistent. According to reports from Reuters, Iraqi Prime Minister adil Abdul-Mahdi said that the Iraqi side was not aware of "any movement threatening any party".
"In Iraq, the United States and Iran each have significant interests and influences." Li Shaoxian, dean of China Institute of Arab Countries of Ningxia University, said in an interview with this newspaper that it is not surprising that Iraq has become the focus of confrontation between the United States and Iraq.
"Iraq has become an important party to solve the crisis from the crisis center." The Iraqi Morning Post quoted Mehdi as saying that Iraq will restore its influence and play a role in easing tensions in the region.
Take care of both sides.
"As an ally of Iran and the United States, it is difficult for Iraq to be caught in the middle." Reuters described the dilemma facing Iraq at present. Agence France-Presse compared Iraq to "an acrobat who performs complex skills", vividly outlining Iraq’s state of walking on thin ice.
Obviously, Iraq can’t provoke the United States. "To a certain extent, today’s Iraq was created by the United States." Li Shaoxian pointed out that since the end of the Iraq war, the United States has sent a large number of troops and security forces to Iraq and built several military bases.
On the other hand, Iraq cannot do without Iran. According to Agence France-Presse, as the second largest supplier of imported goods to Iraq, Iran exports many products to it. In this regard, Li Shaoxian analyzed: "There are Shiites as ties between Iran and Iraq, and Iraq is economically dependent on Iran. Although Iraq is rich in oil resources, it lacks electricity and natural gas, and a large part of its power supply comes from Iran. In addition, the daily necessities of the Iraqi people also need to be imported from Iran. "
"For Iraq, the United States and Iran are like two elephants, and Iraq is a meadow in the middle. Elephants fight, and the grass will suffer. " Li Shaoxian said.
The turmoil will continue.
According to the website of the US Capitol Hill, on May 16th, when President Trump met with Swiss Federal President maurer, he said that the United States did not want a war with Iran. The Islamic Republic News Agency also quoted Iranian Foreign Minister Jawad Zarif as saying: "There will be no war because none of us want war."
Although both sides expressed their hope to avoid war, the current situation is still unclear.
Foreign media said that on the Iran issue, the United States frequently sent out chaotic signals. According to the Associated Press reported on May 17, Trump’s recent speech contradicted a series of actions taken by the United States. The British "Times" published an article on the 18th, pointing out that the unstable attitude of the United States towards Iran may stem from the tension within the White House.
With the prolonged confrontation between the United States and Iran, Iran’s patience is gradually being worn away. According to Al Jazeera, Iranian President Rouhani’s "strategic patience" may begin to turn to "strategic confrontation".
At the same time, the attack on merchant ships in the Persian Gulf also added a fire to the escalating situation in the Middle East. Recently, four commercial ships were "destructively attacked" off the coast of the United Arab Emirates, including two Saudi oil tankers, and the Houthi armed forces supported by Iran became the target of accusations. "They must be hit hard," the Saudi state media "Arab News" bluntly said in an editorial.
In such a situation, Iraq can only try its best to ensure that both sides do not offend. Li Shaoxian pointed out that Iraq will continue to maintain economic exchanges with Iran while assuring the United States that its interests will not be infringed.
"At the beginning of May, the situation in the Middle East has been shrouded in the cloud of confrontation between the United States and Iraq." Li Shaoxian analyzed that a series of actions such as US military deployment and emergency evacuation of overseas Chinese have greatly strengthened the tension in the region, and its influence may last until the end of this year.